ZTO — ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
Industrials · ETF XLI · as of 2026-09-21
Daily · EMA 10 / 20 / 50 · SMA 200 · VolPress: buy/sell split, 20-SMA, white dot = above avg · · E = earnings · RS vs SPY ⓘ · ● RS new high ⓘ
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
NYQ
Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
ZTO Express is China's largest express delivery company by parcel volume, with a volume share of 19.4% in 2024. It operates a network partner model where it provides line-haul transportation and sorting services, while its local network partners provide first-mile pickup and last-mile delivery services under the ZTO brand name. Headquartered in Shanghai, the company was founded in 2002 by Meisong Lai, who remains chair, CEO, and its major shareholder with 78% voting rights as of March 31, 2025. ZTO's strategic shareholder is leading China e-commerce company Alibaba Group with around an 8.9% interest.
Market cap
18.7B
P/E (TTM)
11.9
EPS (TTM)
1.63
Employees
23,399
IPO
2016-10-27
Website
Price & today
$19.45
ATR(14) 0.54 (2.76%)
| Stock today | -7.20% |
| Sector ETF today | +0.14% |
| Residual (stock-specific) | -7.34% |
Sector correlation
| 20-day correlation with XLI | -0.09 |
| 60-day correlation with XLI | -0.01 |
| Status | normal |
Decoupling fires when 60d corr − 20d corr > 0.20: stock used to track its sector but the relationship has weakened recently.
Technicals
| 10 EMA | $20.56 |
| 20 EMA | $20.99 |
| 50 EMA | $21.90 |
| EMA stack | BEARISH |
| RSI(14) | 29.0 oversold |
| 52-week high distance | -25.76% |
| 52-week low distance | +16.61% |
Signals
| Market F&G | 45.6 |
| Bull% | 12.2% |
| OVTLYR status | SELL (40d) |
| Sector rank | #109 |
| Next earnings | 2026-11-18 (TNS, 58d) |
MarketSmith metrics - our compute
RS Rating
8.6
ADR%
1.8
RMV (tight)
100.0
Ext (ATR>20EMA)
-2.9
Rel Vol
554.0%
U/D 50d
0.55
U/D 25d
0.43
Accum/Dist 25d
5 / 12
EPS YoY
+53.0%
LoD dist
93.0
Off 52w High
25.8%
Above 52w Low
7.4%
1W / 1M
-6.9 / -9.0
Avg $Vol 50d
46.2M
Mkt Cap (B)
14.8
Trend 8/8
no
Leads Group
no
Sector XLI
+0.0% 1W
Base len (VCP)
10wk (4/6)
Coil (base shape)
85TVPX COIL
not available: revenue(no EDGAR qtrs=1 fact)
What do these abbreviations mean?
- RS Rating
- - IBD-style relative strength vs SPY (weighted 3/6/9/12-mo). 70+ = leaders pool, 80+ = strong.
- ADR%
- - average daily range over 20 days. 4%+ = the fast movers the playbook prefers (selection order, not a gate).
- RMV (tight)
- - Relative Measured Volatility, 15 bars, scaled 0-100. <15 = tight coiled base (green), <35 moderate, high = loose/expanding - not a base right now.
- Ext (ATR>20EMA)
- - how many ATRs price sits above its 20-EMA. ≤1 = in value (green), >2 = extended/chasing (red) - prefer a pullback.
- Rel Vol
- - latest volume vs the 50-day average. 100% = normal; 140%+ = breakout confirmation.
- U/D 50d / 25d
- - up-day vs down-day volume over the window. 1.1+ = net accumulation (institutions buying); under 0.9 on the 25d = net selling.
- Accum/Dist 25d
- - heavy-volume up days vs heavy-volume down days in the last 25 sessions (close moved 0.2%+ on above-average volume). The institutional-participation footprint; 5+ distribution days = O'Neil caution line.
- LoD dist
- - close distance above the day low in % of ATR (100 = one full ATR off the low). High = strong close.
- Off/Above 52w
- - trend-template legs: within 25% of the 52-week high, at least 25% above the 52-week low.
- Trend 8/8
- - all 8 Minervini Trend Template criteria pass. Discovery floor, NOT an entry signal - entries come from the VCP pivot.
- Base len (VCP)
- - weeks since the VCP base started on the latest scan. 10wk+ bases carry the edge; short stacked bases test below random.
Fundamentals & valuation - reference, not entry inputs
P/E (TTM)
11.9
Fwd P/E
9.0
PEG
1.3
Price/Book
2.1
Profit margin
18.5%
ROE
14.2%
Debt/Equity
17.1
Rev growth
+12.3%
Analyst target
$29 (+48%)
Analyst rating
STRONG_BUY
Institutional %
12.0%
Insider %
2.5%
Float %
51.2%
Valuation and analyst figures are Yahoo company stats (weekly refresh, ~3,000 larger names - blanks are honest gaps); logo, employees, website and IPO date are Massive company reference. Momentum/VCP entries do not use valuation - this card is context so you do not have to leave the page.
Company data - context read, not entry inputs
Industry rank
138 / 146
Industry
Integrated Freight & Logistics
Float
389.0M
Float turnover 20d
0.6%
Avg $Vol 20d / 50d
51.0M / 46.2M
Days to cover
9.1
Short % float
3.0%
Institutional %
12.0%
Weinstein stage
4
Float, short interest and institutional % come from Yahoo company stats, refreshed weekly for ~3,000 larger names - a blank means Yahoo does not publish the figure for this stock, not that it is zero. Dollar volume and float turnover are computed from our own price bars; industry rank from our rotation data; stage from the weekly chart.
Quarterly EPS - earnings acceleration
A dash in %Chg is deliberate: the year-ago figure was a loss, so a growth % would be meaningless. A dash in Sales means we have no revenue figure for that quarter - read it as a gap in our data, not as zero revenue.
| Quarter | EPS ($) | %Chg YoY | Sales ($M) | %Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov-24 | 2.91 | +3% | - | - |
| Mar-25 | 3.24 | +21% | - | - |
| May-25 | 2.71 | +1% | - | - |
| Aug-25 | 2.48 | -27% | - | - |
| Nov-25 | 3.06 | +5% | - | - |
| Mar-26 | 3.31 | +2% | - | - |
| May-26 | 2.95 | +9% | - | - |
| Aug-26 | 3.79 | +53% | - | - |
† = SEC carries this same fiscal quarter under a second period-end with a materially different figure (hover for it) - a restatement, merger recast or successor-period split; %Chg is blanked when the two are more than 15% apart. It fires only when the two period-ends DISAGREE, so it is a floor, not a guarantee that the rest of the column shares one basis · ‡ = the revenue concept changed from the previous quarter WITH A FIGURE (hover for both) - a blank row in between is skipped, as the eye does - a step at that row is a change of basis, not necessarily of business · EPS = Yahoo
eps_actual (the figure MarketSmith/Deepvue show) - whether a given quarter is GAAP or excludes a one-off follows the filing, so it can sit either side of another vendor's number; AAPL's Oct-24 row, the Sep-2024 fiscal quarter, is $0.97 here - GAAP, including the EU tax charge - where TradingView's year implies $1.64 · Sales ($M) = SEC EDGAR quarterly revenue (fiscal Q4 derived as FY minus 9-mo) · quarter = report month · %Chg blank = prior-year base under $0.05 (not meaningful).Recent news - our DB (Finnhub + OVTLYR)
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