Market Dashboard
Data: 2026-09-18Loss-streak caution (advisory - does not block entries or change size)
streak as of 2026-08-24 (campaigns)
CAUTION
a short red run - check whether you are pressing
consecutive red campaigns:
2
(TQQQ, NTAP)
Read it as "check whether you are pressing", not "the market is closed to you".
Whether a loss run predicts the NEXT trade is testable and the prior is that it does not;
whether it predicts your own judgment slipping is not, and that is what this is for.
Advisory only. It does not block a new entry and does not change position size.
Sizing lives in the A+ rubric (1-3% risk); stops, trails and rolls on open positions are untouched.
Market Exposure Dial
as of 2026-09-18 · SPY benchmark
45
Downtrend/Caution
Dist days (25): 10
· Accum: 3 (net -7)
· FTD: no
· VIX: 14.8
· Net 4%: -39
Why (score components)
Base:
+50
Distance vs 200-DMA:
+15.8
Distance vs 50-DMA:
+0.6
50/200 alignment:
+8
Distribution-day drag:
-20
Negative net-4% breadth:
-6
CAP: heavy distribution (>=8):
45.0
How to read: 85+ full offense · 65+ healthy uptrend · 50-65 under pressure ·
30-50 caution · below 30 correction. The score rises with the index's distance above its
50/200-day averages; heavy institutional selling (distribution days), weak participation,
or a high fear gauge pull it down.
Conclusions
as of 2026-09-18 · EODAverage stock vs the index: BROAD BEAR
(RSP/SPY ratio -3.7% 20d)
— risk-off - defense (SGOV switch is the playbook)
Stocks above 50-day avg: 27.8%
(weak)
/ above 200-day avg: 48.5%
— BELOW
the 50% bull/bear line, short-term lagging
Fear gauge (VIX): 14.81
(-4.1% 1d)
= COMPLACENT
— calm getting stretched - watch for tops
broad bear + bear tape (48% above 200d avg) + VIX 15 complacent -> defense - no new longs
Market Regime
as of 2026-09-18 · EODBear tape
Conviction: low - layers diverge
Defensive. Momentum setups fail more here - size down, demand A+ only.
Direction
S&P 500
761.69
-0.12% day
Nasdaq 100
721.45
+0.63% day
Russell 2000
284.10
-0.47% day
Dow
515.88
-0.48% day
Breadth
% above 20-day avg
18.5%
below 50 (-10.6% today) (fast)
% above 50-day avg
27.8%
below 50 = short-term breakdown (-10.3% today)
% above 200-day avg
48.5%
below 50 = bear tape (-1.6% today)
RSP/SPY
0.2787
narrowing (mega-cap led)
New leaders (up 50%/mo)
36
vs 22 down 50%+, 100 up 25%+ - thin but positive (context, not a gate)
4% movers today (net)
-39
171 up / 210 down - participation, not a gate
Sentiment
VIX
14.81
no fear, no extreme
SKEW
n/a
no data source since 2023-12 - check TradingView
Put/call ratio
n/a
no data source - check TradingView
Macro
10Y Yield
4.94%
rising (headwind)
2Y Yield
4.67%
FRED
10Y-2Y curve
+0.25
normal
Dollar (UUP) / DXY
28.39
flat
Standouts
1-day move · liquid equities (price ≥ $12, 50d $vol ≥ $1M) · 2026-09-18 · context read, not a chase list
TPC +406.9% Engineering & Construction
TJGC +53.0% Advertising Agencies
MSTR +16.4% Software - Application
BTDR +15.4% Software - Application
MARA +13.8% Capital Markets
PS +13.7% Asset Management
|
XENE -30.7% Biotechnology
HELP -11.8% Biotechnology
ELA -8.8% Luxury Goods
NBTX -7.9% Biotechnology
RSI -7.7% Gambling
BTU -7.4% Thermal Coal
Macro — live (TradingView)
Treasury yields, the yield curve and the dollar index. Dollar is the Fed broad index, not the ICE DXY level. Breadth and fear gauges live in the Market Regime card above.
Market Breadth — S&P 500
Share of S&P 500 stocks above their 20 / 50 / 200-day averages. How to read:
the 200-day line above 50% = bull market, below = bear; rising lines = strength
spreading, falling = narrowing; above 80% = stretched, below 20% = washed-out
bottom zone. Daily, ~1 year.
Computing breadth series
(up to ~20s on a cold cache, instant after)…
Daily Big Movers — stocks up/down 4%+
as of 2026-09-18 · across 3748 stocks
How to read: net positive = buyers won the day; big spikes (+/-1000+) mark thrusts and
washouts. Ratios above 1 = more big up-moves than down-moves over the last 5/10 days.
Net 4% today:
-39
(+171 / −210)
Ratio 5d:
0.94
Ratio 10d:
0.74
25%/quarter: +488 / −496
25%/month: +100 / −167
50%/month: +36 / −22
13%/34d: +658 / −683
Column Guide
Grade: A = EMA10 > EMA20 > SMA50 (uptrend), B = mixed, C = downtrend
ATRx: Distance from SMA50 in ATR units (positive = above, negative = below)
ATR%: Volatility as % of price (higher = more volatile)
5D / 20D: 5-day and 20-day total return
ATRx: Distance from SMA50 in ATR units (positive = above, negative = below)
ATR%: Volatility as % of price (higher = more volatile)
5D / 20D: 5-day and 20-day total return
Indices (11)
| Ticker | Name | Grade | 5D | 20D | ATRx | ATR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | S&P 500 | B | -0.3% | -0.1% | +0.3 | 0.9% |
| QQQ | Nasdaq-100 | A | +0.9% | +1.5% | +1.2 | 1.3% |
| QQQE | Nasdaq-100 EW | C | -0.4% | -3.6% | -1.6 | 1.0% |
| IWM | Russell 2000 | C | -1.7% | -4.6% | -3.1 | 1.2% |
| DIA | Dow Jones | C | -1.9% | -2.2% | -2.5 | 1.0% |
| MDY | Mid-Cap 400 | C | -1.8% | -4.2% | -3.3 | 1.1% |
| RSP | S&P 500 EW | C | -1.2% | -3.6% | -2.6 | 0.9% |
| MGK | Mega Cap Growth | A | +1.1% | +2.6% | +1.9 | 1.3% |
| IBIT | Bitcoin | A | +5.1% | +11.7% | +4.5 | 3.0% |
| ETHA | Ethereum | A | +4.0% | +13.5% | +5.2 | 3.7% |
| TLT | 20Y+ Treasuries | C | +0.5% | -1.3% | -2.0 | 0.9% |
S&P Style (9)
| Ticker | Name | Grade | 5D | 20D | ATRx | ATR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IVW | Large Growth | B | +0.6% | +1.3% | +1.2 | 1.2% |
| IVV | Large Blend | B | -0.4% | -0.2% | +0.3 | 0.9% |
| IVE | Large Value | B | -1.5% | -1.8% | -1.4 | 0.8% |
| IJK | Mid Growth | C | -1.5% | -4.5% | -2.9 | 1.2% |
| IJH | Mid Blend | C | -2.0% | -4.4% | -3.4 | 1.1% |
| IJJ | Mid Value | C | -2.5% | -4.4% | -4.1 | 1.1% |
| IJT | Small Growth | C | -2.1% | -5.7% | -4.8 | 1.2% |
| IJR | Small Blend | C | -2.3% | -5.1% | -4.2 | 1.2% |
| IJS | Small Value | C | -2.5% | -4.5% | -3.5 | 1.2% |
Sectors (11)
| Ticker | Name | Grade | 5D | 20D | ATRx | ATR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLK | Technology | A | +1.0% | +3.5% | +1.9 | 1.8% |
| XLF | Financials | C | -2.4% | -1.9% | -1.9 | 1.3% |
| XLV | Healthcare | B | +1.8% | -2.3% | +0.7 | 1.4% |
| XLE | Energy | A | -1.3% | +0.9% | +2.5 | 2.0% |
| XLI | Industrials | C | -1.5% | -5.6% | -3.7 | 1.5% |
| XLY | Cons. Discret. | C | -1.7% | -4.8% | -2.7 | 1.5% |
| XLP | Cons. Staples | C | -0.7% | -3.0% | -2.2 | 1.2% |
| XLB | Materials | C | -1.9% | -4.6% | -2.3 | 1.6% |
| XLU | Utilities | C | -3.0% | -6.1% | -4.3 | 1.5% |
| XLRE | Real Estate | C | -2.0% | -5.7% | -3.9 | 1.3% |
| XLC | Communications | A | -1.6% | +0.1% | -0.2 | 1.5% |
EW Sectors (11)
| Ticker | Name | Grade | 5D | 20D | ATRx | ATR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSPT | EW Tech | A | -0.1% | +1.7% | +1.5 | 1.7% |
| RSPF | EW Financials | C | -2.0% | -2.9% | -2.4 | 1.2% |
| RSPR | EW Healthcare | C | -2.0% | -6.3% | -5.0 | 1.1% |
| RSPG | EW Energy | A | -1.8% | -0.1% | +1.9 | 2.0% |
| RSPN | EW Industrials | C | -1.4% | -6.3% | -4.9 | 1.2% |
| RSPD | EW Cons. Disc. | C | -2.5% | -7.6% | -4.8 | 1.5% |
| RSPS | EW Cons. Staples | C | -1.3% | -5.5% | -3.3 | 1.2% |
| RSPM | EW Materials | C | -1.8% | -4.9% | -2.4 | 1.4% |
| RSPU | EW Utilities | C | -2.8% | -6.4% | -4.9 | 1.4% |
| RSPH | EW Pharma | A | +1.8% | -1.3% | +1.9 | 1.3% |
| RSPC | EW Comms | B | -2.7% | -3.0% | -1.3 | 1.5% |
Industries (66)
| Ticker | Name | Sector | Grade | 5D | 20D | ATRx | ATR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMH | Semiconductors | Technology | C | +0.8% | +1.8% | +0.5 | 2.9% |
| IGV | Software | Technology | A | +2.8% | +2.4% | +1.6 | 2.6% |
| WCLD | Cloud Computing | Technology | A | +3.8% | +0.3% | +1.6 | 3.1% |
| CIBR | Cybersecurity | Technology | A | +5.8% | +6.9% | +1.7 | 2.8% |
| AIQ | Artificial Intelligence | Technology | A | +0.2% | +1.8% | +1.8 | 1.7% |
| ROBO | Robotics / AI | Technology | C | -0.8% | -3.0% | -1.4 | 1.7% |
| BLOK | Blockchain | Technology | A | +1.5% | +4.8% | +1.6 | 3.1% |
| FNGS | FANG+ | Technology | A | +1.3% | +3.1% | +2.9 | 1.4% |
| ARKK | Innovation | Innovation / Thematic | A | +5.6% | +6.0% | +3.4 | 2.6% |
| ARKF | Fintech | Innovation / Thematic | A | +1.5% | +3.6% | +2.0 | 2.6% |
| ARKG | Genomics | Innovation / Thematic | A | +13.3% | +8.4% | +4.5 | 3.3% |
| DRIV | EV / Autonomous | Innovation / Thematic | C | -2.0% | -2.6% | -1.5 | 1.9% |
| IBUY | E-Commerce | Innovation / Thematic | C | -1.2% | -8.4% | -4.1 | 1.5% |
| FDN | Internet | Innovation / Thematic | A | -0.3% | +1.4% | +1.2 | 1.5% |
| SOCL | Social Media | Innovation / Thematic | C | -1.8% | -2.4% | -2.9 | 1.6% |
| IBB | Biotechnology | Healthcare | B | +0.8% | -3.0% | +1.2 | 1.9% |
| XBI | Biotech (EW) | Healthcare | B | +0.3% | -4.1% | -0.2 | 2.6% |
| IHI | Medical Devices | Healthcare | C | +1.8% | -6.6% | -1.4 | 1.9% |
| XHE | Health Equipment | Healthcare | B | +1.1% | -4.5% | -0.5 | 1.6% |
| PPH | Pharmaceuticals | Healthcare | B | +1.6% | -3.4% | -0.3 | 1.6% |
| KBE | Banks (Diversified) | Financials | C | -2.1% | -2.9% | -2.5 | 1.6% |
| KRE | Banks (Regional) | Financials | C | -1.6% | -2.6% | -2.1 | 1.7% |
| KIE | Insurance | Financials | C | -0.6% | -2.0% | -1.9 | 1.5% |
| IPAY | Payments | Financials | C | -3.0% | -6.6% | -2.6 | 1.9% |
| KCE | Capital Markets | Financials | B | -2.7% | -4.4% | -1.9 | 1.6% |
| ITA | Aerospace / Defense | Industrials / Transport | C | -2.4% | -10.0% | -5.4 | 1.9% |
| JETS | Airlines | Industrials / Transport | C | +0.2% | -3.5% | -3.0 | 2.3% |
| XTN | Transportation | Industrials / Transport | C | -1.6% | -5.5% | -5.0 | 1.7% |
| BOAT | Marine | Industrials / Transport | A | +2.3% | +9.9% | +6.8 | 1.8% |
| PAVE | Infrastructure | Industrials / Transport | C | -2.1% | -5.5% | -3.5 | 1.7% |
| XOP | Oil & Gas Exploration | Energy | A | -2.6% | +1.7% | +2.2 | 2.5% |
| OIH | Oil Services | Energy | B | -5.2% | -4.2% | -0.3 | 2.8% |
| XES | Energy Services | Energy | B | -5.0% | -4.6% | -0.4 | 2.7% |
| USO | Crude Oil | Energy | A | -0.7% | +14.3% | +4.3 | 3.2% |
| UNG | Natural Gas | Energy | A | +2.4% | +4.0% | +0.6 | 2.7% |
| FCG | Natural Gas Producers | Energy | A | -4.4% | -3.7% | +0.8 | 2.4% |
| DBC | Commodities (Broad) | Commodities / Materials | A | -0.7% | +5.8% | +5.2 | 1.4% |
| DBA | Agriculture | Commodities / Materials | A | -2.7% | -0.8% | -0.3 | 1.1% |
| GLD | Gold | Commodities / Materials | B | +0.6% | -3.4% | +1.1 | 1.9% |
| GDX | Gold Miners | Commodities / Materials | A | -1.7% | -4.4% | +2.2 | 3.6% |
| SLV | Silver | Commodities / Materials | B | +3.1% | -2.8% | +1.7 | 3.1% |
| SILJ | Silver Miners | Commodities / Materials | B | -1.0% | -4.5% | +1.3 | 4.2% |
| SLX | Steel | Commodities / Materials | B | -2.6% | +1.2% | -0.2 | 1.7% |
| XME | Metals & Mining | Commodities / Materials | B | -4.4% | -5.2% | -0.6 | 3.3% |
| CPER | Copper | Commodities / Materials | B | +2.7% | +2.2% | +1.1 | 1.8% |
| LIT | Lithium / Battery | Commodities / Materials | B | -1.4% | -5.5% | -1.4 | 1.8% |
| REMX | Rare Earths | Commodities / Materials | C | -2.1% | -8.8% | -2.4 | 2.9% |
| URA | Uranium | Commodities / Materials | B | -4.3% | -5.0% | -0.9 | 3.9% |
| XRT | Retail | Consumer | C | -3.3% | -5.4% | -4.0 | 1.8% |
| PBJ | Food & Beverage | Consumer | C | -1.0% | -3.8% | -3.1 | 1.0% |
| EATZ | Restaurants | Consumer | A | -0.8% | +5.3% | +1.3 | 1.2% |
| PEJ | Leisure & Entertainment | Consumer | C | -2.1% | -8.6% | -5.0 | 1.4% |
| MSOS | Cannabis | Consumer | A | +3.2% | +3.4% | +1.3 | 4.4% |
| XHB | Homebuilders | Real Estate | C | -2.1% | -8.7% | -4.0 | 2.3% |
| SCHH | REITs (Housing) | Real Estate | C | -2.0% | -5.5% | -4.3 | 1.2% |
| VNQ | REITs (Broad) | Real Estate | C | -2.0% | -5.8% | -4.2 | 1.2% |
| REZ | REITs (Residential) | Real Estate | C | -2.6% | -6.3% | -4.7 | 1.3% |
| TAN | Solar / Clean Energy | Utilities / Clean Energy | C | -3.2% | -8.2% | -3.2 | 3.1% |
| ICLN | Clean Energy | Utilities / Clean Energy | C | -2.0% | -0.4% | -1.0 | 2.3% |
| UTES | Utilities Tech | Utilities / Clean Energy | C | -4.5% | -5.3% | -4.0 | 1.8% |
| IYZ | Telecommunications | Communications | B | -3.1% | -1.5% | -0.5 | 1.7% |
| IBIT | Bitcoin (Spot) | Crypto | A | +5.1% | +11.7% | +4.5 | 3.0% |
| WGMI | Bitcoin Miners | Crypto | C | +5.2% | +5.5% | +0.3 | 6.2% |
| KWEB | China Internet | China | C | +0.9% | -7.0% | -4.0 | 1.8% |
| GXC | China Equity | China | C | +0.6% | -3.2% | -2.1 | 1.0% |
| FXI | China Large-Cap | China | C | -0.5% | -3.8% | -1.9 | 1.3% |
Countries (32)
| Ticker | Name | Grade | 5D | 20D | ATRx | ATR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACWI | All-Country World | B | -0.6% | -0.4% | +0.3 | 0.9% |
| EFA | Dev. Markets (ex-US) | B | -1.6% | -2.2% | -1.2 | 1.0% |
| EEM | Emerging Markets | A | -1.2% | +0.6% | +1.1 | 1.6% |
| IEUR | Europe (Broad) | C | -1.4% | -3.6% | -2.3 | 1.0% |
| IEV | Europe Equity | C | -1.6% | -3.9% | -2.5 | 1.0% |
| EUFN | Europe Financials | B | -2.8% | -1.6% | -0.9 | 1.3% |
| EWG | Germany | B | -1.7% | -4.0% | -1.8 | 1.1% |
| EWQ | France | C | -2.7% | -6.8% | -4.6 | 1.1% |
| EWI | Italy | C | -3.1% | -4.4% | -2.4 | 1.1% |
| EWP | Spain | B | -2.5% | -2.7% | -1.1 | 1.3% |
| EWL | Switzerland | C | -0.4% | -5.8% | -4.1 | 1.1% |
| EWD | Sweden | B | -1.7% | -3.5% | -1.6 | 1.3% |
| GREK | Greece | A | -2.8% | +2.1% | +2.7 | 1.3% |
| EWJ | Japan | A | -1.6% | +2.9% | +1.5 | 1.4% |
| EWY | South Korea | A | -3.9% | +1.8% | +1.2 | 3.7% |
| EWT | Taiwan | A | +0.7% | +7.3% | +3.4 | 2.0% |
| EWH | Hong Kong | B | -0.3% | -2.2% | -0.7 | 1.1% |
| EWS | Singapore | B | -2.4% | -2.4% | -0.5 | 1.2% |
| MCHI | China | C | +0.2% | -4.4% | -2.4 | 1.1% |
| ASHR | China A-Shares | C | +0.4% | -1.4% | -1.9 | 0.9% |
| INDA | India | C | -1.1% | -3.1% | -2.7 | 0.9% |
| THD | Thailand | B | -2.5% | -1.8% | -0.9 | 1.2% |
| EIDO | Indonesia | B | -2.2% | -0.2% | -0.6 | 1.6% |
| KSA | Saudi Arabia | B | -2.1% | -2.1% | -1.2 | 0.8% |
| EZA | South Africa | B | -2.3% | -2.8% | +1.0 | 1.9% |
| TUR | Turkey | C | -7.8% | -7.5% | -2.5 | 2.2% |
| EWA | Australia | C | -1.8% | -3.4% | -1.9 | 1.3% |
| EWC | Canada | B | -0.6% | -2.5% | -0.6 | 1.1% |
| EWW | Mexico | C | -2.7% | -2.9% | -2.0 | 1.8% |
| EWZ | Brazil | A | -1.8% | +9.9% | +1.9 | 2.1% |
| ARGT | Argentina | B | -3.1% | +0.1% | -0.8 | 2.1% |
| ECH | Chile | C | -0.1% | -2.9% | -1.0 | 1.8% |