XPO — XPO, Inc.
Industrials · ETF XLI · as of 2026-09-18
Following the spinoff of its contract logistics division (GXO) in 2021 and freight brokerage operations (RXO) in 2022, XPO is moving closer to becoming a pure-play asset-based less-than-truckload carrier. We estimate LTL shipping makes up 60% of total revenue, with XPO's European truckload and LTL operations making up 40%. However, XPO's LTL segment EBITDA mix is much higher than 60%. We believe XPO intends to divest its European trucking division once it finds the right buyer.
Price & today
| Stock today | -0.62% |
| Sector ETF today | +0.44% |
| Residual (stock-specific) | -1.06% |
Sector correlation
| 20-day correlation with XLI | 0.43 |
| 60-day correlation with XLI | 0.44 |
| Status | normal |
Decoupling fires when 60d corr − 20d corr > 0.20: stock used to track its sector but the relationship has weakened recently.
Technicals
| 10 EMA | $180.08 |
| 20 EMA | $185.39 |
| 50 EMA | $194.16 |
| EMA stack | BEARISH |
| RSI(14) | 31.1 |
| 52-week high distance | -24.72% |
| 52-week low distance | +63.38% |
Signals
| Market F&G | 46.9 |
| Bull% | 12.2% |
| OVTLYR status | SELL (19d) |
| Sector rank | #66 |
| Next earnings | 2026-10-28 (TNS, 39d) |
MarketSmith metrics - our compute
What do these abbreviations mean?
- RS Rating
- - IBD-style relative strength vs SPY (weighted 3/6/9/12-mo). 70+ = leaders pool, 80+ = strong.
- ADR%
- - average daily range over 20 days. 4%+ = the fast movers the playbook prefers (selection order, not a gate).
- RMV (tight)
- - Relative Measured Volatility, 15 bars, scaled 0-100. <15 = tight coiled base (green), <35 moderate, high = loose/expanding - not a base right now.
- Ext (ATR>20EMA)
- - how many ATRs price sits above its 20-EMA. ≤1 = in value (green), >2 = extended/chasing (red) - prefer a pullback.
- Rel Vol
- - latest volume vs the 50-day average. 100% = normal; 140%+ = breakout confirmation.
- U/D 50d / 25d
- - up-day vs down-day volume over the window. 1.1+ = net accumulation (institutions buying); under 0.9 on the 25d = net selling.
- Accum/Dist 25d
- - heavy-volume up days vs heavy-volume down days in the last 25 sessions (close moved 0.2%+ on above-average volume). The institutional-participation footprint; 5+ distribution days = O'Neil caution line.
- LoD dist
- - close distance above the day low in % of ATR (100 = one full ATR off the low). High = strong close.
- Off/Above 52w
- - trend-template legs: within 25% of the 52-week high, at least 25% above the 52-week low.
- Trend 8/8
- - all 8 Minervini Trend Template criteria pass. Discovery floor, NOT an entry signal - entries come from the VCP pivot.
- Base len (VCP)
- - weeks since the VCP base started on the latest scan. 10wk+ bases carry the edge; short stacked bases test below random.
Fundamentals & valuation - reference, not entry inputs
Company data - context read, not entry inputs
Quarterly EPS - earnings acceleration
A dash in %Chg is deliberate: the year-ago figure was a loss, so a growth % would be meaningless. A dash in Sales means we have no revenue figure for that quarter - read it as a gap in our data, not as zero revenue.
| Quarter | EPS ($) | %Chg YoY | Sales ($M) | %Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct-24 | 1.02 | +16% | 2,053.0 | +4% |
| Feb-25 | 0.89 | +16% | 1,922.0 | -1% |
| Apr-25 | 0.73 | -10% | 1,954.0 | -3% |
| Jul-25 | 1.05 | -6% | 2,080.0 | +0% |
| Oct-25 | 1.07 | +5% | 2,111.0 | +3% |
| Feb-26 | 0.88 | -1% | 2,011.0 | +5% |
| Apr-26 | 1.01 | +38% | 2,096.0 | +7% |
| Jul-26 | 1.70 | +62% | 2,355.0 | +13% |
eps_actual (the figure MarketSmith/Deepvue show) - whether a given quarter is GAAP or excludes a one-off follows the filing, so it can sit either side of another vendor's number; AAPL's Oct-24 row, the Sep-2024 fiscal quarter, is $0.97 here - GAAP, including the EU tax charge - where TradingView's year implies $1.64 · Sales ($M) = SEC EDGAR quarterly revenue (fiscal Q4 derived as FY minus 9-mo) · quarter = report month · %Chg blank = prior-year base under $0.05 (not meaningful).Recent news - our DB (Finnhub + OVTLYR)
- Aug 05 · GXO Logistics Fell Sharply Today, But a Turnaround Could Be Coming The Motley Fool
- Jul 23 · FedEx Freight Stock Outlook After the Spin-Off and S&P 500 Debut Yahoo
- Jul 23 + XPO (XPO) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth Zacks Investment Research
- Jul 23 · XPO (XPO) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth Yahoo
- Jul 22 · Is FDXF Stock a Buy With Growth Targets Amid High Debt and Macro Risks Yahoo
- Jul 21 · Stifel Maintains Buy on XPO, Raises Price Target to $241 Benzinga
- Jul 18 · BUZZ Investing: BUZZ Lags As Market Leadership Broadens SeekingAlpha
- Jul 17 · 1 Industrials Stock with Exciting Potential and 2 We Brush Off Yahoo