GEO — The GEO Group, Inc.
Industrials · ETF XLI · as of 2026-09-21
The GEO Group Inc specializes in detention facilities and community reentry centers. It operates in four segments: U.S. Secure Services, which mainly encompasses U.S.-based secure services business; Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, which conducts its services in the United States, represents services provided to adults for monitoring services and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants; Reentry Services conducts its services in the United States represents services provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs; and International Services. The company operates in U.S, Australia and South Africa.
Price & today
| Stock today | -4.75% |
| Sector ETF today | +0.14% |
| Residual (stock-specific) | -4.89% |
Sector correlation
| 20-day correlation with XLI | 0.51 |
| 60-day correlation with XLI | 0.23 |
| Status | normal |
Decoupling fires when 60d corr − 20d corr > 0.20: stock used to track its sector but the relationship has weakened recently.
Technicals
| 10 EMA | $31.33 |
| 20 EMA | $31.38 |
| 50 EMA | $30.59 |
| EMA stack | NEUTRAL |
| RSI(14) | 42.2 |
| 52-week high distance | -6.20% |
| 52-week low distance | +141.81% |
Signals
| Market F&G | 45.6 |
| Bull% | 12.2% |
| OVTLYR status | SELL (11d) |
| Sector rank | #228 |
| Next earnings | 2026-11-04 (TNS, 44d) |
MarketSmith metrics - our compute
What do these abbreviations mean?
- RS Rating
- - IBD-style relative strength vs SPY (weighted 3/6/9/12-mo). 70+ = leaders pool, 80+ = strong.
- ADR%
- - average daily range over 20 days. 4%+ = the fast movers the playbook prefers (selection order, not a gate).
- RMV (tight)
- - Relative Measured Volatility, 15 bars, scaled 0-100. <15 = tight coiled base (green), <35 moderate, high = loose/expanding - not a base right now.
- Ext (ATR>20EMA)
- - how many ATRs price sits above its 20-EMA. ≤1 = in value (green), >2 = extended/chasing (red) - prefer a pullback.
- Rel Vol
- - latest volume vs the 50-day average. 100% = normal; 140%+ = breakout confirmation.
- U/D 50d / 25d
- - up-day vs down-day volume over the window. 1.1+ = net accumulation (institutions buying); under 0.9 on the 25d = net selling.
- Accum/Dist 25d
- - heavy-volume up days vs heavy-volume down days in the last 25 sessions (close moved 0.2%+ on above-average volume). The institutional-participation footprint; 5+ distribution days = O'Neil caution line.
- LoD dist
- - close distance above the day low in % of ATR (100 = one full ATR off the low). High = strong close.
- Off/Above 52w
- - trend-template legs: within 25% of the 52-week high, at least 25% above the 52-week low.
- Trend 8/8
- - all 8 Minervini Trend Template criteria pass. Discovery floor, NOT an entry signal - entries come from the VCP pivot.
- Base len (VCP)
- - weeks since the VCP base started on the latest scan. 10wk+ bases carry the edge; short stacked bases test below random.
Fundamentals & valuation - reference, not entry inputs
Company data - context read, not entry inputs
Quarterly EPS - earnings acceleration
A dash in %Chg is deliberate: the year-ago figure was a loss, so a growth % would be meaningless. A dash in Sales means we have no revenue figure for that quarter - read it as a gap in our data, not as zero revenue.
| Quarter | EPS ($) | %Chg YoY | Sales ($M) | %Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov-24 | 0.21 | +11% | 603.1 | +0% |
| Feb-25 | 0.13 | -55% | 607.7 | +0% |
| May-25 | 0.14 | -22% | 604.6 | +0% |
| Aug-25 | 0.22 | -4% | 636.2 | +5% |
| Nov-25 | 0.25 | +19% | 682.3 | +13% |
| Feb-26 | 0.25 | +92% | 707.7 | +16% |
| May-26 | 0.29 | +107% | 705.2 | +17% |
| Aug-26 | 0.37 | +68% | 732.1 | +15% |
eps_actual (the figure MarketSmith/Deepvue show) - whether a given quarter is GAAP or excludes a one-off follows the filing, so it can sit either side of another vendor's number; AAPL's Oct-24 row, the Sep-2024 fiscal quarter, is $0.97 here - GAAP, including the EU tax charge - where TradingView's year implies $1.64 · Sales ($M) = SEC EDGAR quarterly revenue (fiscal Q4 derived as FY minus 9-mo) · quarter = report month · %Chg blank = prior-year base under $0.05 (not meaningful).Recent news - our DB (Finnhub + OVTLYR)
- Sep 18 · 2 Profitable Stocks on Our Buy List and 1 We Avoid Yahoo
- Sep 18 · GEO Group: The Sustainability Of The Growth Surge Is In Doubt SeekingAlpha
- Sep 17 · GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Flashes Technical Breakout Setup With Strong Setup Quality ChartMill
- Sep 10 · Here's Why Investors Should Retain Global Payments Stock for Now Yahoo
- Sep 09 + Geo Group (GEO) Is a Great Choice for 'Trend' Investors, Here's Why Zacks Investment Research
- Sep 03 · SMAIO has Reappointed Dr Donald J. Blaskiewicz to its Scientific Advisory Board in the United States Yahoo
- Sep 02 + Best Momentum Stocks to Buy for September 2nd Zacks Investment Research
- Sep 02 · Best Momentum Stocks to Buy for September 2nd Yahoo