SPOT — Spotify Technology S.A.
Communication Services · ETF XLC · as of 2026-09-18
Spotify is the leading global music streaming service, with over 750 million monthly active users and nearly 300 million paying subscribers, with the latter constituting the firm's premium segment. Most of the firm's revenue and nearly all its gross profit come from subscribers, who pay a monthly fee to access a music library that includes most of the most popular songs ever recorded, including all from the major record labels. The firm also offers access to audiobooks and integrates podcasts within its standard music app. Podcast content is not exclusive and is typically free to access on other platforms. Ad-supported users can access a similar music catalog, but cannot customize a similar on-demand experience.
Price & today
| Stock today | -3.67% |
| Sector ETF today | -1.37% |
| Residual (stock-specific) | -2.30% |
Sector correlation
| 20-day correlation with XLC | 0.85 |
| 60-day correlation with XLC | 0.45 |
| Status | normal |
Decoupling fires when 60d corr − 20d corr > 0.20: stock used to track its sector but the relationship has weakened recently.
Technicals
| 10 EMA | $534.35 |
| 20 EMA | $532.73 |
| 50 EMA | $518.00 |
| EMA stack | BULLISH |
| RSI(14) | 43.4 |
| 52-week high distance | -35.10% |
| 52-week low distance | +25.79% |
Signals
| Market F&G | 46.9 |
| Bull% | 12.2% |
| OVTLYR status | SELL (6d) |
| Sector rank | #113 |
| Next earnings | 2026-11-02 (BMO, 44d) |
MarketSmith metrics - our compute
What do these abbreviations mean?
- RS Rating
- - IBD-style relative strength vs SPY (weighted 3/6/9/12-mo). 70+ = leaders pool, 80+ = strong.
- ADR%
- - average daily range over 20 days. 4%+ = the fast movers the playbook prefers (selection order, not a gate).
- RMV (tight)
- - Relative Measured Volatility, 15 bars, scaled 0-100. <15 = tight coiled base (green), <35 moderate, high = loose/expanding - not a base right now.
- Ext (ATR>20EMA)
- - how many ATRs price sits above its 20-EMA. ≤1 = in value (green), >2 = extended/chasing (red) - prefer a pullback.
- Rel Vol
- - latest volume vs the 50-day average. 100% = normal; 140%+ = breakout confirmation.
- U/D 50d / 25d
- - up-day vs down-day volume over the window. 1.1+ = net accumulation (institutions buying); under 0.9 on the 25d = net selling.
- Accum/Dist 25d
- - heavy-volume up days vs heavy-volume down days in the last 25 sessions (close moved 0.2%+ on above-average volume). The institutional-participation footprint; 5+ distribution days = O'Neil caution line.
- LoD dist
- - close distance above the day low in % of ATR (100 = one full ATR off the low). High = strong close.
- Off/Above 52w
- - trend-template legs: within 25% of the 52-week high, at least 25% above the 52-week low.
- Trend 8/8
- - all 8 Minervini Trend Template criteria pass. Discovery floor, NOT an entry signal - entries come from the VCP pivot.
- Base len (VCP)
- - weeks since the VCP base started on the latest scan. 10wk+ bases carry the edge; short stacked bases test below random.
Fundamentals & valuation - reference, not entry inputs
Company data - context read, not entry inputs
Quarterly EPS - earnings acceleration
A dash in %Chg is deliberate: the year-ago figure was a loss, so a growth % would be meaningless. A dash in Sales means we have no revenue figure for that quarter - read it as a gap in our data, not as zero revenue.
| Quarter | EPS ($) | %Chg YoY | Sales ($M) | %Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov-24 | 1.45 | +339% | - | - |
| Feb-25 | 1.76 | - | - | - |
| Apr-25 | 1.07 | +10% | - | - |
| Jul-25 | -0.42 | -132% | - | - |
| Nov-25 | 3.28 | +126% | - | - |
| Feb-26 | 4.43 | +152% | - | - |
| Apr-26 | 3.45 | +222% | - | - |
| Aug-26 | 2.61 | - | - | - |
eps_actual (the figure MarketSmith/Deepvue show) - whether a given quarter is GAAP or excludes a one-off follows the filing, so it can sit either side of another vendor's number; AAPL's Oct-24 row, the Sep-2024 fiscal quarter, is $0.97 here - GAAP, including the EU tax charge - where TradingView's year implies $1.64 · Sales ($M) = SEC EDGAR quarterly revenue (fiscal Q4 derived as FY minus 9-mo) · quarter = report month · %Chg blank = prior-year base under $0.05 (not meaningful).Recent news - our DB (Finnhub + OVTLYR)
- Sep 18 − APPS or SPOT: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now? Zacks Investment Research
- Sep 18 + Home Depot vs. Spotify Technology: Which Consumer Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026? The Motley Fool
- Sep 16 · Spotify (SPOT) Dips More Than Broader Market: What You Should Know Zacks Investment Research
- Sep 09 · 3 Reasons Meta Has Turned the Corner Zacks Investment Research
- Sep 04 + Can Higher ARPU Keep Spotify's Premium Revenue Growing? Zacks Investment Research
- Sep 03 · Spotify (SPOT) Up 16% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue? Zacks Investment Research
- Sep 03 · Airbnb vs. Spotify Technology: Which Consumer Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026? The Motley Fool
- Aug 31 · APPS or SPOT: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now? Zacks Investment Research