PKG — Packaging Corporation of America
Consumer Cyclical · ETF XLY · as of 2026-09-21
Packaging Corporation of America manufactures and sells containerboard and uncoated freesheet (UFS) paper products in North America. The company operates through Packaging and Paper segments. The Packaging segment offers various containerboard and corrugated packaging products, such as conventional shipping containers used to protect and transport manufactured goods; multi-color boxes and displays that help to merchandise the packaged product in retail locations; and honeycomb protective packagi...
Price & today
| Stock today | +2.38% |
| Sector ETF today | +1.08% |
| Residual (stock-specific) | +1.30% |
Sector correlation
| 20-day correlation with XLY | 0.46 |
| 60-day correlation with XLY | 0.21 |
| Status | normal |
Decoupling fires when 60d corr − 20d corr > 0.20: stock used to track its sector but the relationship has weakened recently.
Technicals
| 10 EMA | $234.59 |
| 20 EMA | $236.76 |
| 50 EMA | $238.35 |
| EMA stack | BEARISH |
| RSI(14) | 50.5 |
| 52-week high distance | -4.49% |
| 52-week low distance | +33.66% |
Signals
| Market F&G | 45.6 |
| Bull% | 12.2% |
| OVTLYR status | SELL (21d) |
| Sector rank | #132 |
| Next earnings | 2026-10-20 (TNS, 29d) |
MarketSmith metrics - our compute
What do these abbreviations mean?
- RS Rating
- - IBD-style relative strength vs SPY (weighted 3/6/9/12-mo). 70+ = leaders pool, 80+ = strong.
- ADR%
- - average daily range over 20 days. 4%+ = the fast movers the playbook prefers (selection order, not a gate).
- RMV (tight)
- - Relative Measured Volatility, 15 bars, scaled 0-100. <15 = tight coiled base (green), <35 moderate, high = loose/expanding - not a base right now.
- Ext (ATR>20EMA)
- - how many ATRs price sits above its 20-EMA. ≤1 = in value (green), >2 = extended/chasing (red) - prefer a pullback.
- Rel Vol
- - latest volume vs the 50-day average. 100% = normal; 140%+ = breakout confirmation.
- U/D 50d / 25d
- - up-day vs down-day volume over the window. 1.1+ = net accumulation (institutions buying); under 0.9 on the 25d = net selling.
- Accum/Dist 25d
- - heavy-volume up days vs heavy-volume down days in the last 25 sessions (close moved 0.2%+ on above-average volume). The institutional-participation footprint; 5+ distribution days = O'Neil caution line.
- LoD dist
- - close distance above the day low in % of ATR (100 = one full ATR off the low). High = strong close.
- Off/Above 52w
- - trend-template legs: within 25% of the 52-week high, at least 25% above the 52-week low.
- Trend 8/8
- - all 8 Minervini Trend Template criteria pass. Discovery floor, NOT an entry signal - entries come from the VCP pivot.
- Base len (VCP)
- - weeks since the VCP base started on the latest scan. 10wk+ bases carry the edge; short stacked bases test below random.
Fundamentals & valuation - reference, not entry inputs
Company data - context read, not entry inputs
Quarterly EPS - earnings acceleration
A dash in %Chg is deliberate: the year-ago figure was a loss, so a growth % would be meaningless. A dash in Sales means we have no revenue figure for that quarter - read it as a gap in our data, not as zero revenue.
| Quarter | EPS ($) | %Chg YoY | Sales ($M) | %Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct-24 | 2.65 | +29% | 2,182.4 | +13% |
| Jan-25 | 2.47 | +16% | 2,146.1 | +11% |
| Apr-25 | 2.31 | +34% | 2,141.0 | +8% |
| Jul-25 | 2.48 | +13% | 2,171.3 | +5% |
| Oct-25 | 2.73 | +3% | 2,313.4 | +6% |
| Jan-26 | 2.32 | -6% | 2,363.6 | +10% |
| Apr-26 | 2.40 | +4% | 2,367.8 | +11% |
| Jul-26 | 2.35 | -5% | 2,489.9 | +15% |
eps_actual (the figure MarketSmith/Deepvue show) - whether a given quarter is GAAP or excludes a one-off follows the filing, so it can sit either side of another vendor's number; AAPL's Oct-24 row, the Sep-2024 fiscal quarter, is $0.97 here - GAAP, including the EU tax charge - where TradingView's year implies $1.64 · Sales ($M) = SEC EDGAR quarterly revenue (fiscal Q4 derived as FY minus 9-mo) · quarter = report month · %Chg blank = prior-year base under $0.05 (not meaningful).Recent news - our DB (Finnhub + OVTLYR)
- Aug 13 · UBS Maintains Buy on Packaging Corp of America, Raises Price Target to $292 Benzinga
- Aug 12 · Amcor Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates on Berry Global Acquisition Yahoo
- Aug 11 · Pricing actions dominate quarterly fiber discussions Yahoo
- Aug 11 · Insider Decision: Thomas Hassfurther Offloads $1.79M Worth Of Packaging Corp of America Stock Benzinga
- Aug 11 · Is Packaging Corporation Of America (PKG) Fully Valued After Record Corrugated Shipments? Yahoo
- Aug 10 · Amazon Stock And The Profit Signal Everyone Is Chasing Yahoo
- Aug 10 · Industrial Packaging Stocks Q2 Results: Benchmarking Packaging Corporation of America (NYSE:PKG) Yahoo
- Aug 10 · A Steel-Forged Materials Breakout SeekingAlpha