AA — Alcoa Corporation
Basic Materials · ETF XLB · as of 2026-09-22
Daily · EMA 10 / 20 / 50 · SMA 200 · VolPress: buy/sell split, 20-SMA, white dot = above avg · · E = earnings · RS vs SPY ⓘ · ● RS new high ⓘ
Alcoa Corporation
NYQ
Basic Materials · Aluminum
Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and manufacturing primary aluminum. It is one of the world's largest bauxite miners and alumina refiners by production volume, but sits outside the top-10 aluminum producers, a list dominated by Chinese companies. Profits are closely tied to prevailing commodity prices along the aluminum supply chain.Alcoa was the first mass producer of aluminum, launching the world-changing Hall-Heroult smelting process in the 1880s, making aluminum affordable. It listed as a public company in 1925. In 2016, Alcoa spun off its automotive and aerospace metal parts segment to focus on mining, smelting, and refining. It bought the 40% unowned balance of AWAC in mid-2024.
Price & today
$44.71
ATR(14) 2.00 (4.47%)
| Stock today | +0.16% |
| Sector ETF today | +1.65% |
| Residual (stock-specific) | -1.49% |
Sector correlation
| 20-day correlation with XLB | 0.24 |
| 60-day correlation with XLB | 0.34 |
| Status | normal |
Decoupling fires when 60d corr − 20d corr > 0.20: stock used to track its sector but the relationship has weakened recently.
Technicals
| 10 EMA | $46.54 |
| 20 EMA | $47.80 |
| 50 EMA | $49.93 |
| EMA stack | BEARISH |
| RSI(14) | 36.5 |
| 52-week high distance | -47.01% |
| 52-week low distance | +54.60% |
Signals
| Market F&G | 44.9 |
| Bull% | 13.8% |
| OVTLYR status | SELL (22d) |
| Sector rank | #23 |
| Next earnings | 2026-10-15 (AMC, 22d) |
MarketSmith metrics - our compute
RS Rating
9.8
ADR%
3.6
RMV (tight)
67.0
Ext (ATR>20EMA)
-1.5
Rel Vol
91.0%
U/D 50d
0.84
U/D 25d
0.70
Accum/Dist 25d
1 / 1
EPS YoY
+444.0%
LoD dist
42.0
Off 52w High
47.0%
Above 52w Low
45.1%
1W / 1M
-3.9 / -13.8
Avg $Vol 50d
229.3M
Mkt Cap (B)
11.8
Trend 8/8
no
Sector XLB
-0.4% 1W
Base len (VCP)
10wk (6/4)
Coil (base shape)
85TVPX
What do these abbreviations mean?
- RS Rating
- - IBD-style relative strength vs SPY (weighted 3/6/9/12-mo). 70+ = leaders pool, 80+ = strong.
- ADR%
- - average daily range over 20 days. 4%+ = the fast movers the playbook prefers (selection order, not a gate).
- RMV (tight)
- - Relative Measured Volatility, 15 bars, scaled 0-100. <15 = tight coiled base (green), <35 moderate, high = loose/expanding - not a base right now.
- Ext (ATR>20EMA)
- - how many ATRs price sits above its 20-EMA. ≤1 = in value (green), >2 = extended/chasing (red) - prefer a pullback.
- Rel Vol
- - latest volume vs the 50-day average. 100% = normal; 140%+ = breakout confirmation.
- U/D 50d / 25d
- - up-day vs down-day volume over the window. 1.1+ = net accumulation (institutions buying); under 0.9 on the 25d = net selling.
- Accum/Dist 25d
- - heavy-volume up days vs heavy-volume down days in the last 25 sessions (close moved 0.2%+ on above-average volume). The institutional-participation footprint; 5+ distribution days = O'Neil caution line.
- LoD dist
- - close distance above the day low in % of ATR (100 = one full ATR off the low). High = strong close.
- Off/Above 52w
- - trend-template legs: within 25% of the 52-week high, at least 25% above the 52-week low.
- Trend 8/8
- - all 8 Minervini Trend Template criteria pass. Discovery floor, NOT an entry signal - entries come from the VCP pivot.
- Base len (VCP)
- - weeks since the VCP base started on the latest scan. 10wk+ bases carry the edge; short stacked bases test below random.
Fundamentals & valuation - reference, not entry inputs
P/E (TTM)
9.3
Fwd P/E
7.5
PEG
8.4
Price/Book
1.8
Profit margin
9.4%
ROE
18.2%
Debt/Equity
29.9
Rev growth
+31.4%
Analyst target
$63 (+41%)
Analyst rating
BUY
Institutional %
84.2%
Insider %
0.5%
Float %
98.8%
Valuation and analyst figures are Yahoo company stats (weekly refresh, ~3,000 larger names - blanks are honest gaps); logo, employees, website and IPO date are Massive company reference. Momentum/VCP entries do not use valuation - this card is context so you do not have to leave the page.
Company data - context read, not entry inputs
Industry rank
-
Industry
Aluminum
Float
260.7M
Float turnover 20d
1.4%
Avg $Vol 20d / 50d
180.3M / 229.3M
Days to cover
1.3
Short % float
3.4%
Institutional %
84.2%
Weinstein stage
4
Float, short interest and institutional % come from Yahoo company stats, refreshed weekly for ~3,000 larger names - a blank means Yahoo does not publish the figure for this stock, not that it is zero. Dollar volume and float turnover are computed from our own price bars; industry rank from our rotation data; stage from the weekly chart.
Quarterly EPS - earnings acceleration
A dash in %Chg is deliberate: the year-ago figure was a loss, so a growth % would be meaningless. A dash in Sales means we have no revenue figure for that quarter - read it as a gap in our data, not as zero revenue.
| Quarter | EPS ($) | %Chg YoY | Sales ($M) | %Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct-24 | 0.57 | - | 2,904.0 | +12% |
| Jan-25 | 1.04 | - | 3,486.0 | +34% |
| Apr-25 | 2.15 | - | 3,369.0 | +30% |
| Jul-25 | 0.39 | +144% | 3,018.0 | +4% |
| Oct-25 | -0.02 | -104% | 2,995.0 | +3% |
| Jan-26 | 1.26 | +21% | 3,449.0 | -1% |
| Apr-26 | 1.40 | -35% | 3,193.0 | -5% |
| Jul-26 | 2.12 | +444% | 3,966.0 | +31% |
† = SEC carries this same fiscal quarter under a second period-end with a materially different figure (hover for it) - a restatement, merger recast or successor-period split; %Chg is blanked when the two are more than 15% apart. It fires only when the two period-ends DISAGREE, so it is a floor, not a guarantee that the rest of the column shares one basis · ‡ = the revenue concept changed from the previous quarter WITH A FIGURE (hover for both) - a blank row in between is skipped, as the eye does - a step at that row is a change of basis, not necessarily of business · EPS = Yahoo
eps_actual (the figure MarketSmith/Deepvue show) - whether a given quarter is GAAP or excludes a one-off follows the filing, so it can sit either side of another vendor's number; AAPL's Oct-24 row, the Sep-2024 fiscal quarter, is $0.97 here - GAAP, including the EU tax charge - where TradingView's year implies $1.64 · Sales ($M) = SEC EDGAR quarterly revenue (fiscal Q4 derived as FY minus 9-mo) · quarter = report month · %Chg blank = prior-year base under $0.05 (not meaningful).Recent news - our DB (Finnhub + OVTLYR)
- Sep 01 − New Strong Sell Stocks for September 1st Zacks Investment Research
- May 29 + Alcoa: I Remain Bullish After The Massive Rally Seeking Alpha
- May 27 · Alcoa to Participate in Wells Fargo Industrials and Materials Conference 2026 Business Wire
- May 26 · Will Softening Alumina Segment Limit Alcoa's Growth Potential? Zacks Investment Research
- May 25 + Alcoa vs. Ryerson: Which Aluminum Stock Boasts Better Prospects? Zacks Investment Research
- May 19 + Aluminum Prices Have Surged Nearly 90% Since the Iran War Began, and Kiplinger Says Your Portfolio Should Respond 24/7 Wall Street
- May 19 − Will Cost Inflation and Tariffs Continue to Weigh on Alcoa? Zacks Investment Research
- May 19 · Kingsway Announces Name Change To Kingsway Corporation And Stock Ticker Change To KWY Accesswire